AI's 'jaw-dropping' prediction on who will win the 2028 US presidential election
A YouTuber has used Grok to predict how the upcoming 2028 US election will pan out in a detailed breakdown shared online, including the likely winner and which states they'll triumph in.
Grok is Elon Musk's artificial intelligence bot, which is commonly used on his social media platform Twitter (or X, as it's now known).
Donald Trump has long been alluding that he may try to run for a third term but, by law, he cannot do this, as outlined in America's 22nd Amendment.
The 22nd Amendment states, as per the National Constitution Center: "No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once."
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So, if Trump won't be part of the next election, who will?
The likely Republican and Democratic presidential nominees
For the sake of the Grok results, the person behind the YouTube channel Election Time input Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Josh Shapiro, JB Pritzker, Cory Booker, and Tim Walz as potential candidates — many of whom have been rumored to be favorites to run in the upcoming election, CNN suggested.
Per early Democratic primary polls shared on February 12, Harris was polling at 32 percent of the Democratic electorate, with Newsom coming in closely behind with 23.8 percent. At the time, the video was posted, there was a 56 percent chance that Harris would campaign to be the Democratic candidate once again.
Looking at the Republican side of things, Vice President JD Vance is a clear frontrunner. As of February 12, he was polling at 49.2 percent, with Donald Trump Jr. coming in second with 19.5 percent.
Other potential Republican candidates listed were Marco Rubio, Ron DeSantis, Robert Kennedy Jr., Nikki Haley, Ted Cruz, and Vivek Ramaswamy.
Market predictor and exchange platform Kalshi reckon there's a 46 percent chance that Vance will be the Republican nominee.
According to Grok, what states will JD Vance and Kamala Harris win?
Using Vance and Harris as its potential candidates for the 2028 election, the current vice president's solid states were forecast to be Utah, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska (except its second district), Kansas, Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, West Virginia, Indiana, South Carolina, and Ohio.
Meanwhile, Harris' solid states resembled those of her 2024 campaign and included California, Washington, Hawaii, Vermont, Massachusetts, Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, the District of Columbia and the first district of Maine.
A key difference between 2024 and Grok's predictions for 2028 was that Delaware and Connecticut were predicted to be solid states for her in the upcoming election.
But, who wins, according to Grok?
Well, the AI bot's forecast ultimately gives JD Vance 326 electoral votes and Kamala Harris 212, meaning the US could face another four years of Republican rule.
Vance is actually predicted to get 14 more seats than Trump did in 2024, winning every state Trump won along with Minnesota and New Hampshire.
This all comes as Trump and the Republicans struggle in the polls. At the time of writing, the Economist/YouGov has 55 percent of the country saying Trump is doing a bad job as president, and the same pollsters found that 60 percent think the country is on the wrong track.
Trump has had little time for the pollsters' doom and gloom, but nevertheless the Republicans could face an uphill battle to cling onto power
Topics: JD Vance, Kamala Harris, YouTube, Artificial Intelligence, Politics, US News
Niamh Shackleton