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AI reveals who would win the US presidential election if Trump ran against Obama in 2028

Home> News> US News

Published 20:51 23 Feb 2026 GMT

AI reveals who would win the US presidential election if Trump ran against Obama in 2028

The hypothetical election had a clear winner

Danni King

Danni King

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AI has shared a look at what could happen if Barack Obama and Donald Trump both ran for president in 2028.

The popular YouTube channel, I Ask AI, shared a video exploring a hypothetical election where laws change and a third presidential term is allowed, allowing Trump to run for president again.

He cannot run for a third term by law, as outlined in America's 22nd Amendment, but the AI creator couldn't resist seeing what would happen if he could. The host told watchers to ignore the real details for a moment to consider the hypothetical scenario properly.

“So for the next 15 minutes, forget all about the 22nd Amendment. Just put it aside or somewhere," he said.

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Barack Obama was the 44th president of the United States (Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
Barack Obama was the 44th president of the United States (Stefani Reynolds/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Then, imagine Trump runs again. The conversation turns to only one possible opponent.

“And once you open that door, there's really only one name that people bring up. Yes, this man. Every time Trump talks about a third term, Barack Obama's name comes up instantly," the YouTube host added.

Next, questions about the specifics of both campaigns were asked, including what they'd promise voters, how the country would feel and who would eventually win.

The AI predicted Obama's campaign would be centred around Trump, with a specific focus on reversal and repair, as well as 'undoing, correcting, or stabilizing what he would describe as damage from an extended Trump era.'

It also added: "He would present himself as the counterweight, steady where Trump is confrontational, institutional where Trump is disruptive, making the race a direct referendum on two very different governing styles.”

Then, with America feeling exhausted due to conflict, such as scandals and protests, classic reelection conditions would not exist, according to the AI.

This would lead to a clear win. “In that environment, I wouldn't see this as razor thin. I'd lean toward a fairly confident Obama win," the video concluded.

Donald Trump cannot run for president for the third time by law (Nathan Howard/Getty Images)
Donald Trump cannot run for president for the third time by law (Nathan Howard/Getty Images)

Hypothetical elections have also cropped up on X, formerly known as Twitter, with social media users asking the site's AI bot, Grok, about potential scenarios.

But Trump's time as president will conclude in January 2029 and he cannot be reelected, despite him alluding that he may try to run for a third term.

The 22nd Amendment states, as per the National Constitution Center: "No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice, and no person who has held the office of President, or acted as President, for more than two years of a term to which some other person was elected President shall be elected to the office of the President more than once.”

Featured Image Credit: Victor J. Blue/Bloomberg via Getty Images/Nathan Howard/Getty Images

Topics: Donald Trump, Barack Obama, Artificial Intelligence, US News, Politics

Danni King
Danni King

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