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Strategist who made prediction on when Trump's administration will 'collapse' makes new claim on his 'big, beautiful bill'

Home> News> Politics

Published 16:39 7 Jul 2025 GMT+1

Strategist who made prediction on when Trump's administration will 'collapse' makes new claim on his 'big, beautiful bill'

The expert says the legislation could change how the midterm elections play out

Liv Bridge

Liv Bridge

A Democratic Party strategist who made a prediction on when Donald Trump's administration will 'collapse' has made a new claim on his 'big, beautiful bill'.

Infamous political consultant, James Carville, is not one to hold back on his thoughts and more recently has been quite confident that the Trump administration will crumble. And soon.

The 80-year-old author predicted back in February that the POTUS' approval numbers will continue on a downwards trend, ignited then when Trump signed several controversial executive orders and fired thousands of government officials at the recommendation of his former 'First Buddy' Elon Musk.

Carville has been so adamant that it's toast for the Republicans that he said Democrats don't even need to do anything but 'play possum' and sit back to witness the situation unfold, which he said could be in as little as 30 days.

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Carville predicts Democrats could make some serious gains at the midterm elections (Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images for Amazon Studios)
Carville predicts Democrats could make some serious gains at the midterm elections (Matt Winkelmeyer/Getty Images for Amazon Studios)

Now, he claims Democrats are in with a high chance of swooping up 40 seats in the 2026 midterms after the GOP passed Trump's so-called 'big beautiful bill' which outlines sweeping tax breaks for wealthier households while axing funding for Medicaid and food stamp programs.

While Trump has defended his bill as 'great', Democrats - and Musk - consider otherwise.

Musk dubbed the legislation an 'abomination' and claims it will 'massively increase the already gigantic budget deficit' in the US, in turn burdening US citizens 'with crushingly unsustainable debt.'

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The Congressional Budget Office estimates the bill could add $3.3 trillion to the national debt.

Meanwhile, New York Democrat Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez claimed the bill will 'take away healthcare' from 13.7 million Americans and the opposition has continued to call it a 'big, bad bill' or a 'big, broken promise'.

Carville's prediction comes as it would be unprecedented for the party of the president to lose seats in the midterm.

However, he said the bill poses a major issue that could alter the course of the outcome.

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Trump signed the 'One, Big Beautiful Bill Act' into law on Independence Day (Samuel Corum/Getty Images)
Trump signed the 'One, Big Beautiful Bill Act' into law on Independence Day (Samuel Corum/Getty Images)

"Every Democrat, regardless of the ideology or their ethnicity or their regional—we can all rally around this. And we can run on this single issue all the way to 2026. And Paul is right, we're going to pick up more than 40 House seats, I can tell you," Carville said alongside Democratic strategist Paul Begala on CNN on Thursday.

He said he believes it will pose a 'mass extinction event' for Republicans in Congress.

"A lot of them are going to be extinct when people go to the polls, voting for this. I promise you. This thing is like 25, 26 points underwater already, and we haven't even started our education program," he added.

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The opposition has highlighted the bill could adversely affect the health of millions of Americans (Stephanie Keith 100584/Getty Images)
The opposition has highlighted the bill could adversely affect the health of millions of Americans (Stephanie Keith 100584/Getty Images)

Begala added: “Medicaid is beloved, by the way, Trump won people on Medicaid. He won their votes and you know, a good politician rewards his voters, a great politician reaches out beyond to new voters, but a stupid politician punishes his voters."

Polls suggest Democrats would have a slight lead over Republicans in the generic ballot, with an average of 2.3 points, according to Real Clear Politics.

A second Emerson College poll of 1,000 voters between June 24 to June 25 found that on the generic ballot, 43 percent would lean toward Democrats, while 40 percent would vote for Republicans.

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Carville's forecast also comes as House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries said every 'swing seat Republican who voted to gut healthcare' by approving the bill, 'must be held accountable in the midterm election'.

Featured Image Credit: Samuel Corum/Getty

Topics: Donald Trump, Republicans, Politics, US News

Liv Bridge
Liv Bridge

Liv Bridge is a digital journalist who joined the UNILAD team in 2024 after almost three years reporting local news for a Newsquest UK paper, The Oldham Times. She's passionate about health, housing, food and music, especially Oasis...

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@livbridge

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