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Poll reveals how Trump and Barack Obama would do in head-to-head race if both were to run in 2028 election

Home> News> Politics

Updated 10:54 1 Aug 2025 GMT+1Published 10:47 1 Aug 2025 GMT+1

Poll reveals how Trump and Barack Obama would do in head-to-head race if both were to run in 2028 election

The current POTUS has spoken openly about the possibility of running for a third term

Emily Brown

Emily Brown

A poll of hundreds of registered voters in the US has revealed who would win if Donald Trump and Barack Obama were to both launch new campaigns for the 2028 presidential election.

Currently, the US Constitution states that 'no person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice' - and with both Obama and Trump having won two elections, that means neither of them could return to office again. Unless someone were to change the rules, that is.

Trump has spoken openly about the possibility of him returning to office again after his current term, telling NBC News earlier this year that he was 'not joking', and claiming there were 'methods' which would allow him to return.

Assuming these 'methods' could also apply to Obama, Daily Mail/J.L. Partners took the liberty of asking Americans who they think would win in a race between the former and current POTUS.

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Current law means neither Trump nor Obama could run again (Getty Stock Image)
Current law means neither Trump nor Obama could run again (Getty Stock Image)

Of the 1,013 registered voters who took part, seven percent admitted they were 'unsure', or would vote 'other' in such an election.

However, more than half of the respondents were confident in their answer. If Trump and Obama were to go head-to-head, it would be Democrat Obama who would take the win.

Obama found support from 52 percent of the poll participants, while Trump trailed with 41 percent of the vote.

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The poll did have a 3.1 percentage point margin of error, but even if that was taken into account, Obama would still storm ahead.

The Daily Mail has noted that Obama's 11 percent lead stems from a Hispanic voter base, 73 percent of which selected Obama, as well as 68 percent of Black voters.

When it came to independent voters, Obama once again took the lead with 50 percent of the vote, in comparison to 39 percent for Trump.

Obama stormed ahead in the hypothetical poll (ROBERTO SCHMIDT/AFP via Getty Images)
Obama stormed ahead in the hypothetical poll (ROBERTO SCHMIDT/AFP via Getty Images)

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The poll also revealed insight into approval ratings for the current leader, with 49 percent overall saying they approved of Trump's job performance as president, while 51 percent had an unfavorable view.

If Trump were to run against Hillary Clinton, however, it would be Trump who took the win, according to the poll, with 44 percent of voters choosing the former reality TV star, in comparison to 43 percent who said they would vote for Clinton.

Though the Constitution as it stands does hinder the possibility of a race between Trump and Obama ever taking place, the Republican has said such an election would be a 'good one'.

Speaking to Fox News in March, he said: "I'd love that …. That would be a good one. I'd like that."

Featured Image Credit: SAUL LOEB/Getty

Topics: Donald Trump, Barack Obama, US News, Politics

Emily Brown
Emily Brown

Emily Brown is UNILAD Editorial Lead at LADbible Group. She first began delivering news when she was just 11 years old - with a paper route - before graduating with a BA Hons in English Language in the Media from Lancaster University. Emily joined UNILAD in 2018 to cover breaking news, trending stories and longer form features. She went on to become Community Desk Lead, commissioning and writing human interest stories from across the globe, before moving to the role of Editorial Lead. Emily now works alongside the UNILAD Editor to ensure the page delivers accurate, interesting and high quality content.

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