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Three specific factors that made the Texas flash floods so deadly

Home> News> US News

Published 10:53 9 Jul 2025 GMT+1

Three specific factors that made the Texas flash floods so deadly

More than 100 people, including at least 30 children, died as the Guadalupe River broke its banks

Emily Brown

Emily Brown

Featured Image Credit: Jim Vondruska/Getty Images

Topics: Texas, Weather, US News, Science

Emily Brown
Emily Brown

Emily Brown is UNILAD Editorial Lead at LADbible Group. She first began delivering news when she was just 11 years old - with a paper route - before graduating with a BA Hons in English Language in the Media from Lancaster University. Emily joined UNILAD in 2018 to cover breaking news, trending stories and longer form features. She went on to become Community Desk Lead, commissioning and writing human interest stories from across the globe, before moving to the role of Editorial Lead. Emily now works alongside the UNILAD Editor to ensure the page delivers accurate, interesting and high quality content.

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While millions of Americans spent July 4th weekend celebrating, thousands of people in rural Texas were forced to fight for their lives as flash floods completely devastated the area.

More than 160 people are still believed to be missing at the time of writing (July 9), while at least another 100 people lost their lives as a result of the sudden influx of water.

The main areas affected by the floods are located on the lowlands of Kerr County along the Guadalupe River, where youth camps including Camp Mystic are located, along with a number of regular campsites.

The total number of fatalities and the destruction caused by the floods are not yet properly known, but as rescue and recovery operations continue experts cited by the BBC have managed to pinpoint three specific factors that came together over the weekend to result in disaster.

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Water flooded into the cabins at Camp Mystic (RONALDO SCHEMIDT/AFP via Getty Images)
Water flooded into the cabins at Camp Mystic (RONALDO SCHEMIDT/AFP via Getty Images)

Volatile weather

A major factor in the flash floods comes down to the sheer amount of rain that fell over the area in just a few hours, with the National Weather Service (NWS) reporting that approximately five-10 inches of rain fell in just three to six hours.

In comparison, the average July rainfall over the last 25 years for the Kerrville area has been reported at just over two inches.

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The downpour caused the Guadalupe River to burst its banks, with the river rising to almost 30 feet.

Unusual humidity

Before the flash floods began, the Kerr County lowlands were subject to a large supply of moisture in the area due to a tropical storm which previously caused flooding in Mexico.

The moisture then made its way north towards the US, into the hillier part of Texas to Kerr County.

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Four months worth of rain fell in a matter of hours (Brandon Bell/Getty Images)
Four months worth of rain fell in a matter of hours (Brandon Bell/Getty Images)

A hilly landscape

Where the camps are located in Kerr County is a hillier part of the state; a landscape which forced the moisture-filled air upwards.

As a result, huge storm clouds built up over the area and effectively became their own weather system, contributing to the rainfall in the area and moving at a slow pace as they dropped water on to the hills below, which then ran into the surrounding rivers.

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Camp Mystic was located in an area with some of the highest levels of rainfall, and some of the cabins were located less than 500 feet from the river bank.

The bigger picture

While these three factors all contributed to the destruction and loss of life in Texas, they form part of a bigger picture of extreme weather events that can be attributed to climate change.

Some of the air present during the disaster originated from the Gulf of Mexico - otherwise known as the Gulf of America - where sea surface temperatures are higher than normal, resulting in more evaporation and consequently more moisture in the atmosphere.

  • Heartbreaking before and after pictures of Texas river show true devastation of flash floods
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  • Horrifying timelapse footage shows just how quickly Texas flash flood happened as search continues for missing girls

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